The second half of the season is the time to get after it. A lot of the guesswork is over since most teams are starting to show their true colors. This week has more division games on the plate than I have ever seen on one Sunday. It's best to use a little caution seeing how division games tend to bring out the most surprises in regards to upsets and the like. On to the games
Arizona -1.5 vs Detroit 45 I loved Detroit until I saw the consensus report on wagerline. Detroiy is up to 80%
of all picks made on this game. Detroit looks almost too good to be true as marginal dogs vs the struggling Arizona offense of late. I think the oddsmakers are trying to envoke memories of the Cards big wins over Seattle and Pitt with this line. Well , the Cards home win vs division rival Seattle wasn't too surprising and it took a punt return for a TD to put them over the top vs Pitt. I recommend sticking with Detroit anyway. They have looked very legit recently, it appears they have found something that works on defense and have cut down on the mental mistakes that lead to big plays for the opposition. Detroit's front seven is plenty capable of harrassing the immobile K Warner. He won't have the time for many deep throws. On offense, Detroit's ability to go 4 wide and spread the Cards out looks like a mismatch. Kitna is playing the best football of his career.
Detroit +1.5 if the Panthers can win at Arizona, the surging Lions can pull out a win as long as the zebras don't get too involved.
Tenn -3 vs Jacksonville 37 the under looks like such an obvious call that I will have to pass on it. In a game that looks full of uncertainty, the one thing that is a given is that the winner of the game straight up will cover as well. It's hard not to like Tennessee at home for the 2nd week in a row vs a team on the road for 3 weeks in a row. I like the Titans to win by a bigger margin than expected. Jacksonville probably won't travel well.
Tenn -3
Carolina -4.5 vs Atlanta bad offensive teams don't make for good favorites. The only reason the Panthers are sizable favorites is because Atlanta is one of the publics least favorite teams this year.
Atlanta +4.5
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