Browns +3.5 vs Steelers
The trends heavily favor the Steelers. The magic number for the Browns is 20. If you think the Browns will score more than 20 points, TAKE'M
Steelers-3.5
Saints -3.5 vs Bengals
I have correctly picked the winner vs the spread on every Bengals game this year. This is the first game that has me confused. When that is the case 9 times out of 10 the dog covers. Take the points in this game. Do not take the over. it looks like such an easy call. The total is risky and could very well come in a point or 2 short.
Bengals+3.5
Packers +5.5 vs Patroits
The Pats are not the same w/o Rodney Harrison,. The offense still isn't consistnet. The Pats are a terrible favorite. Forget they are the Pats for a second and think about them as just a team that has lost 2 in a row that is a road favorite of almost a TD vs a Packer squad that can score points. Favre will feel rejuvenated thinking about this Super Bowl win vs N. England 10 years ago.
Packers+5
Jets+6.5 vs Bears
Pennington won't get away w/ those floating screen passes vs the Bears. The Jets will struggle to score. If all goes as predicted by most the Bears should win by a fair margin.
That is a pretty big if considering the Jets are sandwiched btw last week's game vs the Giants and a trip to New England next week. The Jets got a shot in the arm last week and a stronger effort from them might be enough to somehow cover in the game.
The Bears are the pick unless you think the Jets will win the game straight up. Whoever wins this game will cover.
Bears-6.5
Dolphins-3.5 vs Vikings
The water in Miami looks pretty warm. The Dolphins are catching the Vikings in a bad spot. Minnesota was at San Fran last week and now has to fly into what should be a fairly hot and humid Miami. Thats a lot of traveling. I doubt they will play up to their best. Meanwhile, the Dolphins have been comfortable at home eating home cooked meals and while riding the momentum of a 2 game winning streak.
Dolphins-3.5
Cowboys+1.5 vs Colts
The Cowboys aren't ready for P. Manning and Co. I see the Colts opening up the playbook and scoring 35 plus points. It's questionable to think the boys can match them everytime w/ a TD. P. Manning vs a QB w/ less 5 career starts. The Cowboys are one of the most penalized teams in the league. Sooner or later, a mental mistake will cost them.
Colts -1.5
Chiefs-9.5 vs Raiders
When the Chiefs are at home, if you can pick the winner of the game outright you have the moneymaker as well.
Chiefs -9.5
Texans-2 vs Bills
Taking the Texans as favs is not the most entertaining idea. They look like the pick. The return of starting CB D Faggins has sparked the defense. J Losman wil probably throw at least 1 int in this game. An interesting stat on the Bills from last week is they only had 2 players w/ a reception. The A train cannot catch very well. This allows teams to cover the other guys more now that they don't have to worry about McGahee. the Bills will struggle in the red zone at the very least. Take the home team in a battle of alsorans.
Texans-2
Broncos -2.5 vs Chargers
I've seen easier games. I like the home team in what appears to be a decent game. The Broncos have the edge in energy after a cushy win vs Oakland while the Chargers were in a cross country shootout. Now they travel to a place that has not been kind to them. The Broncos should be able to score on the Chargers shaky secondary. The Broncos D can handle a tired San Diego team w/ a QB making his first start at Denver. The Chiefs beat the Bolts at home and so will the Broncos
Broncos-2.5
Cardinals -2 vs Lions
This game is not worth anyone's time or money. Inconsistent teams are bad bets waiting to turn into bad beats. Save yourself from a story
Eagles -13 vs Titans
The Eagles may be looking ahead to the Colts next week. I like the points in this game. The Eagles may have trouble in the red zone, a bunch of field goals won't cover a 13 point line. The Eagles record at home vs the AFC against the spread is terrible.
Titans +13
49ers+3 vs Seahawks
The Seawhawks minus Hasselback are in for a street fight vs their division rival 49ers at San Fran Sunday. There are a lost of stats and trends that favor the Niners.
Niners+3
Ravens-4 vs Falcons the Ravens haven't been good as favs so far, the Falcons don't look like a solid pick either. There will be a little more offense in this game than expected. TAKE THE OVER and the home team.
Ravens-4 over 41
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